New poll examines how Trump and Hunter Biden verdicts are affecting voters’ opinions
Recent findings from a national poll by Monmouth University have shed light on the limited impact of the guilty verdicts in former President Trump’s criminal trial on his potential 2024 election rematch with President Biden.
The survey also revealed that a greater number of voters agree with Trump’s conviction on 34 felony counts, marking the first trial in the nation’s history involving a former or current president.
However, a majority of those polled expressed skepticism, believing that the charges against Trump were politically motivated. A similar sentiment was shared regarding the trial of Hunter Biden, President Biden’s son, who was convicted on three counts related to a firearm possession incident in 2018.
Trump’s Legal Troubles
Trump’s recent conviction on all 34 felony counts, including falsifying business records, stems from payments made to Stormy Daniels during the 2016 election campaign to conceal an alleged affair. Prosecutors argued that this constituted illegal interference in the election.
The Monmouth poll revealed that despite the verdict, both Trump and Biden are maintaining almost equal levels of support for the potential 2024 rematch, with increased enthusiasm among voters from both parties.
Key Battleground Insights
Registered voters are split almost evenly between supporting the Democratic incumbent and the Republican predecessor, with a significant portion expressing resistance to voting for either candidate.
Trump has consistently held a slight edge over Biden in polling across seven critical battleground states, although Biden remains ahead in fundraising and ground game operations in those key areas.
Public Perception
Approximately half of the respondents in the Monmouth survey agreed with the guilty verdicts in Trump’s trial, with a sizable minority voicing dissent. These sentiments align closely with other national polls conducted post-trial, indicating a stable approval rating for the former president.
There is a clear divide in public opinion on the motivations behind Trump’s trial, with a majority perceiving political bias in the decision to prosecute. In contrast, fewer respondents felt that politics played a role in Hunter Biden’s legal troubles.
Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray remarked on the poll results, highlighting the partisan divide in perceptions of the judicial process and the differing levels of trust across party lines.
The survey was conducted from June 6th to 10th, prior to Hunter Biden’s conviction, with a sample of 1,106 adults nationwide. The margin of error for the survey is approximately 3.9 percentage points.
