Poll shows large shift in Democratic voters towards Harris since she became a candidate against Trump
Exciting news from The Wall Street Journal indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris is now in a tight race with former President Donald Trump after President Biden withdrew from the Democratic nomination for the upcoming election. The latest poll shows that Harris is now neck and neck with Trump, with only a 2% difference in a two-person race, well within the 3.1% margin of error. This indicates a significant shift as Harris has managed to cut into the six-point lead Trump held over President Biden before he stepped down from the race recently.
When the poll includes additional candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other independent and third-party candidates, Trump’s lead over Harris narrows to just 1%, with Trump at 45% and Harris at 44%. This shift can be attributed to the changing demographics of voters as Harris has energized Democrats, resulting in high levels of enthusiasm within the party.
One notable highlight from the poll is the massive fundraising success Harris has achieved since announcing her run for president in place of Biden. She raised an impressive $100 million from over 1.1 million distinct donors within a span of just 24 hours, marking what her campaign claims to be the most substantial single-day raise in presidential history.
However, the poll also offers some positive news for Trump, with Republican pollster David Lee pointing out that Trump had been trailing Biden by nine points in a similar poll conducted in July 2020. According to Lee, Trump is in a much stronger position now compared to the same time during the previous election cycle.
The poll indicates that voters tend to favor Trump on critical issues like the economy, immigration, foreign policy, and crime, while leaning towards Harris on abortion. A tied national poll would potentially give Trump an advantage in the Electoral College, considering the distribution of the country’s population. Harris has not yet selected a vice presidential candidate, but potential picks such as Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona, and North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper could impact the race.
Men seem to favor Trump by 13 points, while women back Harris by 12. Trump holds a two-point lead with voters over 45 years old, whereas Harris has a five-point advantage with voters under 35 years old. Whites without a college degree tend to support Trump by 15 points, whereas Harris has a three-point edge among Whites with a degree and voters of color, who back her by 39 points.
The battleground states also show a tight race, much to the relief of Democrats who were concerned about a collapse in those regions following Biden’s exit from the race. Harris currently leads by six points in Minnesota, while Trump holds a marginal advantage in Wisconsin. The two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania. Harris also boasts higher favorability ratings than Trump in each state except for Michigan, where they remain evenly matched.
Overall, the latest poll results indicate a highly competitive race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, setting the stage for an intriguing and closely fought election ahead. With the race tightening in key battleground states and both candidates enjoying support from distinct demographics, the upcoming election promises to be a riveting contest for the nation.
